Insight

Monthly Market Dashboard: RVs rise across Europe, but for how long?

Neil King | 23 Oct 2020

About the author

Neil King

Senior Data Journalist

Neil King, senior data journalist, holds responsibility for bringing together data-driven insight and pan-European content that is born out of the expertise and knowledge across the whole Autovista Group and Autovista24.

In the first of a new monthly initiative, Autovista Group has created a dashboard showcasing the latest data on residual values, average selling days, the fastest-selling used cars and the residual value outlook in France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK. Senior data journalist Neil King discusses the findings.

Autovista Group’s new monthly market dashboard (MMD) reveals that the average residual value (RV) of cars aged 36 months and with 60,000km grew year on year in all the Big 5 European markets in October. Even RV retention, represented as RV%, grew year on year in all markets except Germany. The highest growth in RV% terms was in the UK, where the average RV% was 48%, equating to a 1.9% improvement on September and a healthy 14.9% change compared to October 2019.

Monthly market dashboard October 2020

As reported in our coverage of the ‘three-speed’ development of RVs across Europe, the UK is enjoying the release of pent-up demand, both from the coronavirus (COVID-19) lockdown and the uncertainty running up to the country’s departure from the European Union on 31 January. The country also faces a starker vehicle-supply challenge than any other market, which is filtering through to higher RVs as used-car demand outstrips supply.

Quicker rehoming

In addition to the growth in RVs in most markets during October, three-year-old cars are also selling quicker than a year ago in all the major European markets, except Spain. Three-year-old cars are selling the quickest in the UK, moving on after an average of just 33 days. However, the greatest reduction in the average number of days for 36-month-old cars to sell, compared to October 2019, was in France. These vehicles now have to wait on average only 37 days to find a new buyer in France, sitting idle for a significant 23% fewer days than in October 2019.

The fastest-selling model in France in October 2020 was the Peugeot 208, which took just 17 days to find a new home. After the Peugeot 208 in France, the fastest-selling models across the major European markets were in the UK. The Range Rover Evoque and the Mercedes-Benz GLC also took less than 20 days to be rehomed in October.

The future’s not so bright

The new MMD also features the latest Autovista Group RV outlook for the major European markets. The current trend for rising RVs is unfortunately not forecast to continue in 2021. Autovista Group predicts that at year-end 2021, compared to year-end 2020, RVs of cars in the 36 month/60,000km scenario will be lower in France, Italy, and the UK and merely stable in Spain. The weakest outlook is for Italy, where RVs are currently forecast to be 3.9% lower by the end of 2021 than at the beginning of the year. RVs are only expected to be higher in Germany, albeit with year-on-year growth of only 0.4% forecast for both 2021 and 2022.

Click here or on the screenshot above to view the monthly market dashboard for October 2020.

Monthly market dashboard

A golden age for used-car markets?

10 Aug 2020

As the automotive industry starts its recovery following the coronavirus (COVID-19) lockdowns, there is a notion of unexpected recovery visible in some markets. Is this...

August – Latest whitepaper update: How will COVID-19 shape used car markets?

11 Aug 2020

As coronavirus (COVID-19) lockdowns are left behind, thoughts turn to economic recovery. However, as the latest update to the Autovista Group whitepaper ‘How will COVID-19...

Podcast: Running the numbers on incentives, registrations and residual values

17 Aug 2020

The Autovista Group Daily Brief Team discusses the biggest automotive news stories of the last fortnight. In this episode, Tom Geggus talks incentive schemes, Neil...

Yes, sign me up to Autovista24

* Mandatory


Sign up to receive the following email:
Autovista24: Essential automotive reading, data and intelligence – a daily update from the new Autovista24 website sent daily by Autovista Ltd, in English

We use pixels in our emails to monitor whenever you open, forward or click on the URLs in our emails. This helps us to monitor and measure the performance and effectiveness of our emails. We combine this with the information you provide above and your browsing information so that we can better tailor and improve our marketing to you and personalise your user experience on our website. By signing up, you are consenting to the use of your data for the purpose of sending you the selected emails and to the use of tracking pixels. You can withdraw your consent to receive our emails and the related tracking at any time by following this link to our Email Preference Centre and updating your preferences. For additional information on the processing of your personal data, please refer to the Autovista Group Privacy Policy and the Glass’s Privacy Policy.